Conditional cumulative distribution function #
Given ρ : measure (α × ℝ), we define the conditional cumulative distribution function
(conditional cdf) of ρ. It is a function cond_cdf ρ : α → ℝ → ℝ such that if ρ is a finite
measure, then for all a : α cond_cdf ρ a is monotone and right-continuous with limit 0 at -∞
and limit 1 at +∞, and such that for all x : ℝ, a ↦ cond_cdf ρ a x is measurable. For all
x : ℝ and measurable set s, that function satisfies
∫⁻ a in s, ennreal.of_real (cond_cdf ρ a x) ∂ρ.fst = ρ (s ×ˢ Iic x).
Main definitions #
probability_theory.cond_cdf ρ : α → stieltjes_function: the conditional cdf ofρ : measure (α × ℝ). Astieltjes_functionis a functionℝ → ℝwhich is monotone and right-continuous.
Main statements #
probability_theory.set_lintegral_cond_cdf: for alla : αandx : ℝ, all measurable sets,∫⁻ a in s, ennreal.of_real (cond_cdf ρ a x) ∂ρ.fst = ρ (s ×ˢ Iic x).
References #
The construction of the conditional cdf in this file follows the proof of Theorem 3.4 in [O. Kallenberg, Foundations of modern probability][kallenberg2021].
TODO #
- The conditional cdf can be used to define the cdf of a real measure by using the
conditional cdf of
(measure.dirac unit.star).prod μ : measure (unit × ℝ).
Measure on α such that for a measurable set s, ρ.Iic_snd r s = ρ (s ×ˢ Iic r).
Equations
- MeasureTheory.Measure.IicSnd ρ r = MeasureTheory.Measure.fst (MeasureTheory.Measure.restrict ρ (Set.univ ×ˢ Set.Iic r))
Instances For
Auxiliary definitions #
We build towards the definition of probability_theory.cond_cdf. We first define
probability_theory.pre_cdf, a function defined on α × ℚ with the properties of a cdf almost
everywhere. We then introduce probability_theory.cond_cdf_rat, a function on α × ℚ which has
the properties of a cdf for all a : α. We finally extend to ℝ.
pre_cdf is the Radon-Nikodym derivative of ρ.IicSnd with respect to ρ.fst at each
r : ℚ. This function ℚ → α → ℝ≥0∞ is such that for almost all a : α, the function ℚ → ℝ≥0∞
satisfies the properties of a cdf (monotone with limit 0 at -∞ and 1 at +∞, right-continuous).
We define this function on ℚ and not ℝ because ℚ is countable, which allows us to prove
properties of the form ∀ᵐ a ∂ρ.fst, ∀ q, P (preCDF q a), instead of the weaker
∀ q, ∀ᵐ a ∂ρ.fst, P (preCDF q a).
Equations
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A product measure on α × ℝ is said to have a conditional cdf at a : α if preCDF is
monotone with limit 0 at -∞ and 1 at +∞, and is right continuous.
This property holds almost everywhere (see has_cond_cdf_ae).
- mono : Monotone fun (r : ℚ) => ProbabilityTheory.preCDF ρ r a
- le_one : ∀ (r : ℚ), ProbabilityTheory.preCDF ρ r a ≤ 1
- tendsto_atTop_one : Filter.Tendsto (fun (r : ℚ) => ProbabilityTheory.preCDF ρ r a) Filter.atTop (nhds 1)
- tendsto_atBot_zero : Filter.Tendsto (fun (r : ℚ) => ProbabilityTheory.preCDF ρ r a) Filter.atBot (nhds 0)
- iInf_rat_gt_eq : ∀ (t : ℚ), ⨅ (r : ↑(Set.Ioi t)), ProbabilityTheory.preCDF ρ (↑r) a = ProbabilityTheory.preCDF ρ t a
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A measurable set of elements of α such that ρ has a conditional cdf at all
a ∈ condCDFSet.
Equations
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Conditional cdf of the measure given the value on α, restricted to the rationals.
It is defined to be pre_cdf if a ∈ condCDFSet, and a default cdf-like function
otherwise. This is an auxiliary definition used to define cond_cdf.
Equations
- ProbabilityTheory.condCDFRat ρ a = if a ∈ ProbabilityTheory.condCDFSet ρ then fun (r : ℚ) => (ProbabilityTheory.preCDF ρ r a).toReal else fun (r : ℚ) => if r < 0 then 0 else 1
Instances For
Conditional cdf of the measure given the value on α, as a plain function. This is an auxiliary
definition used to define cond_cdf.
Instances For
Conditional cdf #
Conditional cdf of the measure given the value on α, as a Stieltjes function.
Equations
- ProbabilityTheory.condCDF ρ a = { toFun := ProbabilityTheory.condCDF' ρ a, mono' := ⋯, right_continuous' := ⋯ }
Instances For
The conditional cdf is non-negative for all a : α.
The conditional cdf is lower or equal to 1 for all a : α.
The conditional cdf tends to 0 at -∞ for all a : α.
The conditional cdf tends to 1 at +∞ for all a : α.
The conditional cdf is a measurable function of a : α for all x : ℝ.
Auxiliary lemma for set_lintegral_cond_cdf.
The conditional cdf is a strongly measurable function of a : α for all x : ℝ.
Equations
- ⋯ = ⋯
The function a ↦ (condCDF ρ a).measure is measurable.